2025-08-26 13:01

August export plan revised up by 200,000 bpd due to refinery outages Export planning uncertain due to ongoing strikes and repair schedule shifts Usti-Luga port operates at half capacity after pipeline damage MOSCOW, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Russia has revised up its crude oil export plan from western ports by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August from the initial schedule after Ukrainian drone attacks disrupted refinery operations and freed up more crude for shipment, three people familiar with the matter said. Export planning remains uncertain, however, due to ongoing strikes and shifting repair schedules, so delays and volume revisions are likely, they said. Sign up here. "Attacks are ongoing and repair deadlines change daily. It’s unclear how much Russia can load this month or next," one person said. Russian oil sellers were yet to receive final loading plans for September, though normally they have the full plan a week before the loading month. Russia's Energy Ministry and Transneft oil pipeline monopoly did not immediately respond to requests for comment. The disruptions come at a time when Moscow is seeking to raise revenues despite Western sanctions and U.S. pressure on key buyers to reduce imports of its oil. Loadings from Primorsk, Novorossiisk and Ust-Luga are expected to reach about 2 million barrels per day (bpd), up from an initial plan of 1.8 million bpd, the sources said. The adjustment follows attacks on 10 Russian refineries this month, which shut down facilities accounting for at least 17% of national processing capacity, or 1.1 million bpd, according to Reuters calculations. Ukraine also targeted the Druzhba , opens new tab pipeline and the Unecha , opens new tab pumping station in the Bryansk region, a key route for crude deliveries to Ust-Luga, further limiting Russia’s export capacity. One source estimated that the damage to the Druzhba pipeline and the Ust-Luga route could reduce exports by up to 500,000 bpd. Vessel availability at the end of August is also constrained, limiting Russia’s ability to boost shipments, that person said. Another source said Ust-Luga port is currently operating at half of its 700,000 bpd capacity and it was not clear when the terminal may start to operate in full. The volumes are being diverted to Novorossiisk and Primorsk, the source added. Russian western port loadings are typically adjusted based on refinery throughput, as most plants are located in central Russia. Eastern exports remain largely unaffected. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-raises-august-oil-export-plan-after-drone-strikes-disrupt-refineries-2025-08-26/

2025-08-26 12:53

SAO PAULO, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Brazil's mid-month consumer price index posted its first drop in two years in August as electricity costs fell, official data showed on Tuesday, with the 12-month reading edging closer to the upper end of the central bank's target range. Prices in Latin America's largest economy fell 0.14% in the month to mid-August, statistics agency IBGE said, down from a 0.33% increase in the previous month. Economists polled by Reuters expected a 0.19% drop. Sign up here. The monthly decline was the first for the IPCA-15 index since July 2023, and comes as interest rates stand at a nearly 20-year high as part of the central bank's bid to tame persistent inflation. The overall price drop was mainly driven by lower housing costs, with electricity costs decreasing sharply due to a one-off discount related to hydroelectric dam Itaipu's results, according to IBGE. Closely watched food and beverage prices also slipped in the month, alongside declines in transport and communication costs. Annual inflation came in at 4.95% in the early August reading, IBGE said, down from 5.30% a month earlier but slightly above the 4.91% expected by economists in the Reuters poll. The key figure slipped below 5% for the first time since February in good news for Brazil's central bank, which targets inflation at 3% - plus or minus 1.5 percentage points - and has pledged to bring it back to that level. The bank last month interrupted an aggressive tightening cycle that had added 450 basis points to its benchmark interest rate, bringing it to 15%, the highest level since July 2006. https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazils-mid-month-inflation-index-posts-first-drop-two-years-2025-08-26/

2025-08-26 12:39

Areas evacuated are in Pakistan's agricultural heartland Floods from water release could inflame India-Pakistan tensions Floods have caused havoc in Pakistan's northwest, now moving east Eastern rivers experiencing heavier rainfall due to climate change, says minister LAHORE, Pakistan, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Pakistan evacuated at least 150,000 people in areas along three rivers in its agricultural heartland to escape flooding, as neighbouring India warned it plans to release excess water from a dam, officials said on Tuesday. The arch-rivals have been ravaged by intense rain and flooding in recent weeks. The release of excess water in addition to heavy rains threatens to further flood parts of Pakistan's Punjab province, which serves as the country's breadbasket and accounts for a large part of its food supply. Sign up here. The nuclear-armed nations have been in a tense stand-off since a brief conflict in May, their worst fighting in decades, and any flooding blamed on New Delhi could inflame ties. Pakistani officials said they received a second warning from India on Monday that it intends to release water from the rapidly filling Madhopur Dam, on its side of Punjab province. The forced evacuations started on Friday ahead of the Indian warning and have continued to date, said a spokesperson at Pakistan's National Disaster Management Authority. The total number also includes at least 35,000 who had left voluntarily after multiple early warnings since August 14, she said. Army troops are also taking part in the evacuation drive. India routinely releases water from its dams when they get too full, with the excess flowing into Pakistan. An Indian government source said they had not mentioned a specific dam but the intense rain led them to share the second warning with Pakistan through diplomatic channels. Asked if more warnings could be issued, he said it was possible. New Delhi had warned Pakistan on Sunday that large volumes of water would flow into its waterways due to the heavy rainfall. Three rivers - Ravi, Sutlej and Chenab – flow into Pakistan from Indian territory. Those rivers are seeing medium to high flooding, the Pakistani authority said on Tuesday, warning of more intense rains in Punjab and Pakistan's Kashmir in the next 12 to 24 hours. Mazhar Hussain, a Pakistani disaster management official, said India will release a controlled amount of water from dams in the coming days. Hundreds of villages situated on the embankment of the three rivers have been evacuated, he said. Sixteen villages are at risk of flooding, said Deputy Commissioner Saba Asghar Ali after visiting Pasrur city near the Indian border. Arrangements for food, medicines, washrooms, and other necessities have been made in the relief camps set up in the area, she said, adding that there may be a need to relocate a population of 5,000 and 1,450 livestock to safer locations. "Due to climate change, eastern rivers are experiencing heavier rainfall compared to the past," said Kazim Raza Pirzada, the Punjab province irrigation minister. AGRICULTURAL HEARTLAND Pakistan's northwest has been hammered by intense floods, accounting for half of the 799 people killed this monsoon season. The northern region of Gilgit Baltistan has suffered accelerated glacial melting, while the southern city of Karachi was partly submerged last week. Now the worst of the flooding is threatening the eastern Punjab province, home to half of Pakistan's 240 million people. The province produces the majority of Pakistan's staple crops and the areas along the three rivers boast large tracts of fertile agricultural lands. The warning from India on Sunday came after New Delhi put in abeyance a decades-old treaty with Islamabad on sharing water from the Indus River network. India suspended the treaty after blaming Pakistan for a deadly attack on Hindu tourists in Indian Kashmir, which sparked the hostilities in May. Islamabad denied any involvement. An Indian official said on Sunday that the warning was shared on "humanitarian grounds", and not under the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty, following heavy rains in the northern Jammu and Kashmir. Floods in the region have killed at least 60 people this month. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/land-use-biodiversity/pakistan-evacuates-150000-people-rival-india-warns-floods-2025-08-26/

2025-08-26 12:20

Trump fires Governor Cook amid push for more influence at Fed Cook's removal highlights worries over Fed independence EUR, GBP lead gains against U.S. dollar French bonds tumble as government faces collapse MUMBAI, Aug 26 (Reuters) - The dollar stumbled against major currencies on Tuesday as U.S. President Donald Trump's unprecedented move to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook renewed concerns over the central bank's independence. The euro and sterling were up about 0.3% against the dollar at $1.1654 and $1.3491, respectively. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar was down 0.2% to 147.41 yen and it dipped against the Swiss-franc as well. Sign up here. Trump said he was removing Cook over alleged improprieties in obtaining mortgage loans, a step that could test the boundaries of presidential power over the Fed. In response, Cook said Trump has no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she will not resign. "Challenges to Fed independence pose clear downside risks to the Dollar in our view, owing in this case to both concerns around US institutions, and to the read-through to lower front-end US yields," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note. Trump's announcement surprised markets but the reaction was relatively muted with investors caught between the concerns over politicization of policy and the payoffs for markets. The president has repeatedly berated Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates, though he has stopped threatening to fire him ahead of the end of his term in a little under 9 months. "The story has been well-telegraphed," said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate FX and rates research at Societe Generale, referring to Trump's push for lower benchmark borrowing costs. Money markets are currently pricing in a near 81% probability of a rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. Morgan Stanley on Tuesday became the latest brokerage to forecast a cut in interest rates in September, joining global peers after Powell hinted at policy-easing next month in a speech last week. While investors may be inclined to sell the dollar, lingering economic and fiscal worries in Europe also narrow the available currencies to bet on a decline in the U.S. currency, Broux said. France's government bonds fell on Tuesday as the country's minority government looked increasingly likely to be ousted next month, with main opposition parties saying they would not back a confidence vote announced by Prime Minister Francois Bayrou over his plans for sweeping budget cuts. The 10-year government bond yield rose to a peak of 3.53%, its highest since March and adding to Monday's 7 basis point climb. Bond yields move inversely to prices. Worries over renewed political instability in France added to jitters in global bond markets about the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which contributed to selling in government bonds from the U.S., Britain and Japan. US/GB/JP/ "The broader question for the euro is whether recent French news destabilises appetite for the euro more broadly, or whether this is an isolated French issue," analysts at ING said in a note. Cryptocurrencies remained choppy with bitcoin last up 0.2%, attempting to break a three-day losing streak, while ether climbed 1.5%. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dollar-falls-trumps-move-fire-fed-governor-spooks-investors-2025-08-26/

2025-08-26 12:18

LONDON/BEIJING, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Prices of two rare earth elements needed for super-strong magnets have surged to their highest in more than two years after U.S. miner MP Materials (MP.N) , opens new tab stopped raw material exports to leading magnet maker China amid rising demand. China dominates the global supply chain for rare earths, accounting for 90% of refining capacity and around 70% of mined output, but the U.S. has pushed back, signing a deal with its biggest producer MP in July to refine its output domestically. Sign up here. MP's shipments had in the past three years fed 7%-9% of China's oxide production from mine output of rare earths neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr) - vital to magnets that power electric vehicles, wind turbines and defence equipment - consultancy Adamas said. "MP's shipments were a very material portion of NdPr oxide supply for China's factories, so that's left a big void," said Ryan Castilloux, managing director of Adamas. The Chinese price of NdPr oxide , regarded as a benchmark, has jumped to 632,000 yuan per metric ton or $88 per kg, the strongest since March 2023, from $63 on July 9. Its 40% rally after several years of weakness will boost prospects for mine projects seeking investment outside China as the West seeks to wean off reliance on Beijing. Boosting the West's rare earth output became more urgent after China clamped down on exports in April amid a trade war with the U.S., prompting some auto plants to shut. The U.S. government announced a ground-breaking deal with MP last month stipulating the company halt shipments to China. It also offered price support to MP for the NdPr it produces based on $110 per kg, at the time about twice the Chinese price. MP had paused shipments to China in April due to high tariffs, but any shortage was masked by weakness in magnet demand due to Chinese export curbs, analysts said. U.S. rare earth ore supply to China slid in May and hit zero in June before jumping last month, probably due to the final MP shipments, they added. China's exports of rare earth magnets recovered to hit a six-month high in July after Beijing eased its export controls, having agreed a series of deals with the U.S. and Europe. PEAK MANUFACTURING SEASON NdPr prices have been weighed down by oversupply in recent years and in March last year, they sank to 345,000 yuan, the weakest since November 2020. Their recent gains have also been driven by a rebound in demand. "China is currently in its peak manufacturing season for electric vehicles, wind turbines, and consumer electronics. This cyclical uptick in demand has put additional pressure on available NdPr supply," said Neha Mukherjee, research manager for rare earths at consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. Support has also come from uncertainty surrounding Chinese rare earth mining and smelting quotas, which were released this year without the typical public statement. Castilloux said some players may be anticipating lower quotas, adding that he expects a modest 5% increase in Chinese output this year, in contrast to demand growing at about 10%. Whether the rally will continue will partly depend on demand from magnet makers and whether they can absorb the higher prices, said Ellie Saklatvala, head of metal pricing at Argus. "Producers of NdPr products are relieved to now see prices lift away from loss-making territory – it’ll be a question for buyers such as magnet makers whether their margins are healthy enough to keep paying those higher prices for feedstock." https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/rare-earth-prices-hit-two-year-peak-after-mp-materials-stops-china-shipments-2025-08-26/

2025-08-26 12:11

Modi to visit Japan August 29-30 Visit takes place with India-US ties strained by tariffs Critical minerals cooperation a priority for India and Japan Modi may announce new initiatives with Japan Modi to then make first China visit in over seven years NEW DELHI, Aug 26 (Reuters) - The leaders of India and Japan want to further their cooperation on issues such as critical minerals under the framework of the Quad group, New Delhi said on Tuesday before Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to Japan. Ahead of the August 29-30 trip, Vikram Misri, India's foreign secretary, told a press conference that India attaches a high value to the Quad group, seen as a counterweight to China in the Indo-Pacific, despite strained ties with fellow member the United States. Sign up here. President Donald Trump’s decision to impose additional tariffs of up to 50% on imports from India, mainly in response to its purchases of Russian oil and resistance to opening up the agricultural sector, has undermined decades of diplomatic progress between the two countries. That, in turn, has raised doubts about India's plans to host , opens new tab a summit of the leaders of Quad countries, which also include Australia, later this year. The last such gathering was held in the U.S. in September 2024. Misri said India is still in talks with the U.S. over the tariffs and keen to continue expanding its cooperation with the Quad countries. "The Quad is indeed an important platform for working on and promoting peace, stability, prosperity and development in the Indo-Pacific region," Misri said. He said that one of the Quad's goals is cooperation on critical minerals, which he called a priority for both India and Japan. "There's an initiative with regard to critical minerals that has been discussed recently overall with regard to how to make supply chains more resilient and also infrastructure development," he said, without giving details. Reuters reported in June that India had asked a state-run miner to suspend a 13-year-old agreement on the export of rare earths to Japan and to safeguard supplies for domestic needs, to cut India's dependence on China. Export volumes are not high and analysts say India lacks wide-scale technology and infrastructure to mine or process rare earths - a group of 17 elements used in products from lasers and military equipment to the magnets found in electric vehicles, wind turbines and consumer electronics. During his eighth trip to Japan since taking office in 2014, Modi and his counterpart Shigeru Ishiba could launch several new initiatives to respond to "emerging opportunities and challenges", Misri said, without giving specifics. Modi on Tuesday attended an event in Gujarat state to mark the start of EV production by Japan's Suzuki Motor (7269.T) , opens new tab, which also announced an investment of about $8 billion in India. From Japan, Modi will fly to the Chinese port city of Tianjin for the summit of the regional security bloc Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, his first visit to China in more than seven years. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/india-backs-quad-group-ahead-modis-japan-visit-amid-strained-us-ties-2025-08-26/