BITCOIN, CRYPTO KEY POINTS:

• Bitcoin Flies to 31k as Optimism Improves and Hopes for a Spot BTC Approval Rises.
• Coinbase is Looking to Make a Final Push on SEC Charges.
• Bulls Appear in Control of Bitcoin but the RSI Remains a Concern.

BITCOIN RALLY GATHERS PACE AS ETF OPTIMISM BUILDS

Bitcoin prices have continued their upward trajectory following a spike last week on the Blackrock Spot ETF application. The news turned out to be false but optimism continues to grow coupled with positive news for the cyrpto industry as a whole and the result is the current rally beyond the 30k mark.

Source: TradingView

As you can see from the crypto heatmap above and the majority of coins are higher today while crypto companies appear to be benefitting as well. Coinbase being an example and the reason I am using them lies in the pending court case between the SEC and Coinbase. The crypto platform is expected to make a final case on Tuesday for a judge to hopefully save it from the SEC and the charges of unregistered-securities.

According to sources familiar with the matter the Company is expected to double-down on familiar arguments. The SEC has not shown that any actual contracts existed while violating the “major question doctrine” that says Federal Agencies have no business regulating novel areas that are awaiting congressional action. Coinbase has been making a steady move higher from the back end of last week.

The recent rally has seen a shift in the Crypto fear and greed index which has improved from a 47 reading last week to 53 this week. This is just below the greed area and could be a good sign for both Bitcoin and Crypto markets as a whole.

Source: FinancialJuice

SPOT ETF APPROVAL COULD SEE HUGE INFLUX OF INSTITUTIONAL FUNDS

The main catalyst for this quarter in my opinion is the spot Bitcoin ETF with the spike last week a sign of the possibilities. We have heard from the Blackrock CEO among others who have said they are fielding an unprecedented number of calls from clients who would like to diversify their portfolios in Crypto as well.

I have spoken about this in length in my Q4 Bitcoin Outlook and it remains my assertion that a spot Bitcoin ETF could be game changer. Some analysts are predicting as much as 10-20% gains in Bitcoin on the immediate approval followed by a massive influx of institutional investors to the crypto market and predominantly Bitcoin of course.

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK AND FINAL THOUGHTS

From a technical standpoint BTCUSD is following the perfect breakout, retest and continuation model following a trendline break. We have no printed two golden cross patterns in quick succession as the 20-day MA has broken above the 50 and 100-day MAs.

A daily candle close above the 30k psychological mark remains key today and loos set to materialize. Immediate resistance rests at around the 31.5K mark and could result in some pullback as the 14-day RSI remains uncomfortably close to highs and may give bulls something to consider moving forward.

Key Levels to Keep an Eye On:

Support levels:

• 30500
• 30000
• 28900

Resistance levels:

• 31500
• 32000
• 32520

BTCUSD Daily Chart, October 23, 2023.

Source: TradingView, chart prepared by Zain Vawda

https://www.dailyfx.com/news/bitcoin-breaks-psychological-30k-level-as-spot-etf-approval-hopes-grow-20231023.html