• A new lower low activates more declines.
• The US inflation data should shake the price.
• False breakdowns may bring a new rally.

The gold price is trading in the green at $2,026 at the time of writing. Still, the downside pressure remains high in the short term despite Friday’s rally.

Surprisingly or not, the XAU/USD jumped higher in the last trading session even though the US reported positive data. However, the yellow metal edged higher only because the US dollar was overbought after its strong swing higher. Now, the greenback has turned to the upside again, so gold erased the latest gains.

The Non-Farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings, Unemployment Claims, and Factory Orders came in better than expected.

Gold price seems to be under pressure in the short term after Switzerland’s inflation data was released today. The Consumer Price Index reported a 0.0% growth compared to the 0.1% drop estimated after the 0.2% drop in the previous reporting period, while Retail Sales rose by 0.7%, beating the 0.0% growth forecasted.

The week’s most important event is the publication of US inflation data. The CPI m/m may report a 0.2% growth versus the 0.1% growth in the previous reporting period, while CPI y/y is expected at 3.2%. Higher inflation in December compared to November could boost the USD.

Technically, the gold price dropped again after registering a false breakout through the 23.6% ($2,061). Now, it has dropped below the 50% (2,030) retracement level and challenges the $2,027 static support.

The metal is trading in the demand zone. So, only making a new lower low could trigger more declines. False breakdowns and coming back above 61.8% may result in a new bounce back.

https://www.forexcrunch.com/blog/2024/01/08/gold-price-under-pressure-as-market-awaits-us-cpi-data/