• XAU/USD seems determined to return higher as long as it stays above the lower median line.
• The US inflation data should bring sharp movements tomorrow.
• Only a new lower low invalidates a larger growth.

The gold price is trading in the green at $2,034 at the time of writing. The metal seems determined to hit new highs as the US dollar turned downside. The dollar’s sell-off should help the XAU/USD to come back higher and to erase some of the latest drops.

Yesterday, the US Trade Balance and RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism came in better than expected, while the Canadian Trade Balance and Building Permits indicators reported poor data.

Today, the Australian CPI reported 4.3% growth, less compared to the 4.4% growth estimated and far below the 4.9% growth in the previous reporting period. Later, the BOE Gov Bailey Speaks, and the US Final Wholesale Inventories could bring some action.

Still, the traders are waiting for the US inflation data. The Consumer Price Index, CPI y/y, and the Core CPI data will be released tomorrow.

Higher inflation could punish the price of gold and lift the USD in the short term. Furthermore, the US PPI, Core PPI, the UK GPD, and the Chinese inflation figures could move the rate on Friday.

Technically, the yellow metal challenges the former channel’s downside line. The price has found strong support on the lower median line (LML) of the ascending pitchfork, and now it is trying to jump higher again. Its failure to take out the lower median line (LML) revealed sellers’ exhaustion and that the corrective phase could be over.

The downtrend line, $2,050, and the median line (ml) of the ascending pitchfork represent potential upside targets. XAU/USD could develop a broader rebound as long as it stays above the lower median line (LML).

https://www.forexcrunch.com/blog/2024/01/10/gold-price-struggling-to-rebound-eyes-on-us-inflation/